Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 11:00 • Estadio San José
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.39) 0.88 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.2% 28.9% 25.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
San Martín
0 1 2 3 4 5
Llanes 0 11.7% 10.3% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.8% 13.0% 5.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.4% 8.2% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.0% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLlanesSan Martín
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack38%50%
Defense50%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Llanes San Martín
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins38%25%31%50%25%38%
Draws50%38%44%25%38%31%
Loses13%38%25%25%38%31%

Form: Llanes: LDDWLLWWWDDDWLDD • San Martín: DLWLWWDLWWDWDDLL

League goals

Metric Llanes San Martín
HATHAT
GF total9101912921
GF avg1.11.31.21.51.11.3
GA total7111881321
GA avg0.91.41.11.01.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLlanesSan Martín
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%75%63%75%
1.525%31%38%31%
2.56%6%19%19%
3.56%0%6%6%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLlanesSan Martín
HATHAT
Clean sheets224224
Failed to score033336

Penalties

MetricLlanesSan Martín
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricLlanesSan Martín
Wins32
Draws32
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-45-21-3
Biggest losses1-23-10-24-0
Goals For2453
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricLlanesSan Martín
Form55%45%
Att43%57%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total52.8%47.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Llanes or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.37 @ Betano
Draw2.85 @ Betano
Away3.46 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ William Hill
No1.74 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.52 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Llanes = 1.26 (league 1.39), San Martín = 0.88 (league 1.13)

San Martín
0 1 2 3 4 5
Llanes 0 11.7% 10.3% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 14.8% 13.0% 5.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.4% 8.2% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.0% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.2% · Draw 28.9% · Away win 25.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1