Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 11:00 •
Estadio La Cruz
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.41)
0.86 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.1% | 32.0% | 29.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.6%
0 - 0
15.4%
1 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Siero | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ceares | 0 | 15.4% | 13.2% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.6% | 13.4% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ceares | Siero |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 75% | 88% |
| Defense | 63% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ceares | Siero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 38% | 25% | 31% | 50% | 38% | 44% |
| Draws | 38% | 50% | 44% | 13% | 25% | 19% |
| Loses | 25% | 25% | 25% | 38% | 38% | 38% |
Form: Ceares: DWDLDDLWDDLLWWWD • Siero: DLLDWLLWWLWDWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Ceares | Siero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 10 | 19 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 7 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ceares | Siero | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 50% | 81% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 25% | 56% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 6% | 19% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ceares | Siero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ceares | Siero |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ceares | Siero |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-5 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 2-1 | 2-3 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ceares | Siero |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 83% | 17% |
| Total | 58.7% | 41.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Ceares or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ceares = 1.01 (league 1.41), Siero = 0.86 (league 1.15)
| Siero | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ceares | 0 | 15.4% | 13.2% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.6% | 13.4% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.1% · Draw 32.0% · Away win 29.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1