Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 16:30 • Estadio El Bayu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.39) 1.15 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.9% 25.6% 28.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
10.6%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
San Martín
0 1 2 3 4 5
Siero 0 7.1% 8.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.6% 12.2% 7.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.1% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.0% 4.6% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSieroSan Martín
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack33%33%
Defense33%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Siero San Martín
HATHAT
Played121426131326
Wins42%21%31%38%23%31%
Draws25%36%31%23%46%35%
Loses33%43%38%38%31%35%

Form: Siero: DLLDWLLWWLWDWWWLLDDDLDWLDL • San Martín: DLWLWWDLWWDWDDLLDDLDLWWLLD

League goals

Metric Siero San Martín
HATHAT
GF total191332141327
GF avg1.60.91.21.11.01.0
GA total162137131730
GA avg1.31.51.41.01.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSieroSan Martín
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%69%54%73%
1.542%38%31%27%
2.512%15%12%12%
3.50%12%4%4%
4.50%8%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSieroSan Martín
HATHAT
Clean sheets448347
Failed to score2686612

Penalties

MetricSieroSan Martín
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricSieroSan Martín
Wins32
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-35-21-3
Biggest losses0-45-00-24-0
Goals For3353
Goals Against4524

Model comparison

MetricSieroSan Martín
Form42%58%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h15%85%
Goals29%71%
Total37.3%62.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or San Martín

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.53 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.99 @ Marathonbet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Siero = 1.50 (league 1.39), San Martín = 1.15 (league 1.13)

San Martín
0 1 2 3 4 5
Siero 0 7.1% 8.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.6% 12.2% 7.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.1% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.0% 4.6% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.9% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 28.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1