Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 15:45 •
Estadio Fernando Astobiza
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.59)
3.14 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.6% | 13.6% | 64.7% |
best score tips
1 - 3
8.0%
1 - 2
7.6%
0 - 3
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Castro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cayón | 0 | 1.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Cayón | Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 33% | 44% |
| Attack | 19% | 69% |
| Defense | 69% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 11 | 3.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.7 | 4 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Cayón | Castro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 100% | 50% | 67% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
Form: Cayón: LWL • Castro: DLW
League goals
| Metric | Cayón | Castro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 3.7 |
| GA total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Cayón | Castro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 100% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 67% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Cayón | Castro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Cayón | Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Cayón | Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | 9-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Cayón | Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 21% | 79% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 51.8% | 48.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Cayón or draw and +1.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Cayón = 1.25 (league 1.59), Castro = 3.14 (league 1.18)
| Castro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cayón | 0 | 1.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.6% · Draw 13.6% · Away win 64.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1