Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 14:30 •
Estadio El Pilar
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.52)
0.83 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.7% | 28.4% | 23.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.3%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Atlético Albericia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guarnizo | 0 | 11.6% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.3% | 12.8% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Guarnizo | Atlético Albericia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 44% | 100% |
| Attack | 50% | 100% |
| Defense | 33% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 8 | 2.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 3 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Guarnizo | Atlético Albericia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 33% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Guarnizo: LWD • Atlético Albericia: WWW
League goals
| Metric | Guarnizo | Atlético Albericia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 2.7 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Guarnizo | Atlético Albericia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 100% | 100% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 67% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 67% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Guarnizo | Atlético Albericia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Guarnizo | Atlético Albericia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Guarnizo | Atlético Albericia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Guarnizo | Atlético Albericia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 61% | 39% |
| Total | 48.4% | 51.6% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Atlético Albericia
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Guarnizo = 1.32 (league 1.52), Atlético Albericia = 0.83 (league 1.20)
| Atlético Albericia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guarnizo | 0 | 11.6% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.3% | 12.8% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.7% · Draw 28.4% · Away win 23.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1