Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 16:00 •
Estadio Juan Hormaechea
Expected Goals
3.45 (league 1.52)
0.63 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 75.0% | 7.9% | 3.5% |
best score tips
3 - 0
11.6%
2 - 0
10.1%
4 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Castro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Albericia | 0 | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.6% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.0% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atlético Albericia | Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 100% | 42% |
| Attack | 92% | 92% |
| Defense | 69% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 3 | 12 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
6.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
77%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atlético Albericia | Castro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Form: Atlético Albericia: WWWW • Castro: DLWD
League goals
| Metric | Atlético Albericia | Castro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| GF avg | 3.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 3.0 |
| GA total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atlético Albericia | Castro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 75% | 25% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atlético Albericia | Castro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atlético Albericia | Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atlético Albericia | Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 9-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 9 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atlético Albericia | Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 69% | 31% |
| Total | 66.5% | 33.5% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Atlético Albericia and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Atlético Albericia = 3.45 (league 1.52), Castro = 0.63 (league 1.20)
| Castro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Albericia | 0 | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.6% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.0% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.0% · Draw 7.9% · Away win 3.5%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1