Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:30 • Estadio El Pilar
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.89 (league 1.59) 0.05 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
82.2% 15.7% 0.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
27.1%
2 - 0
25.7%
3 - 0
16.2%
Score & goals probability table
Revilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guarnizo 0 14.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.1% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 25.7% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.2% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuarnizoRevilla
Played43
Form33%0%
Attack31%0%
Defense38%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 10 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 26 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guarnizo Revilla
HATHAT
Played224123
Wins50%0%25%0%0%0%
Draws0%50%25%0%0%0%
Loses50%50%50%100%100%100%

Form: Guarnizo: LWDL • Revilla: LLL

League goals

Metric Guarnizo Revilla
HATHAT
GF total314000
GF avg1.50.51.00.00.00.0
GA total538246
GA avg2.51.52.02.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuarnizoRevilla
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%100%0%100%
1.525%50%0%67%
2.50%25%0%33%
3.50%25%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuarnizoRevilla
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricGuarnizoRevilla
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGuarnizoRevilla
Wins10
Draws10
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1
Biggest losses1-42-00-23-0
Goals For2100
Goals Against4223

Model comparison

MetricGuarnizoRevilla
Form100%0%
Att100%0%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h85%15%
Goals67%33%
Total65.0%35.0%

Advice: Winner : Guarnizo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Guarnizo = 1.89 (league 1.59), Revilla = 0.05 (league 1.18)

Revilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guarnizo 0 14.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.1% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 25.7% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 16.2% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 7.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 82.2% · Draw 15.7% · Away win 0.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1