Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 15:00 •
Estadio El Castañal
Expected Goals
2.38 (league 1.57)
0.41 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 78.0% | 13.8% | 4.8% |
best score tips
2 - 0
17.3%
1 - 0
14.5%
3 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Cartes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Selaya | 0 | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.5% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.3% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.8% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.2% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Selaya | Cartes |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 33% | 33% |
| Attack | 75% | 25% |
| Defense | 38% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 2 | 0.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 5 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Selaya | Cartes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Form: Selaya: DLWL • Cartes: WDLL
League goals
| Metric | Selaya | Cartes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Selaya | Cartes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 50% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Selaya | Cartes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Selaya | Cartes |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Selaya | Cartes |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Selaya | Cartes |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 83% | 17% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 18% | 82% |
| Total | 50.2% | 49.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Selaya or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Selaya = 2.38 (league 1.57), Cartes = 0.41 (league 1.21)
| Cartes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Selaya | 0 | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.5% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.3% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.8% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.2% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.0% · Draw 13.8% · Away win 4.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1