Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 15:00 • Campo La Caseta
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.59) 1.84 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.0% 21.5% 65.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.5%
0 - 2
14.3%
1 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Cayón
0 1 2 3 4 5
Noja 0 8.4% 15.5% 14.3% 8.8% 4.1% 1.5%
1 5.3% 9.8% 9.0% 5.5% 2.6% 0.9%
2 1.7% 3.1% 2.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNojaCayón
Played44
Form17%33%
Attack13%50%
Defense13%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.34 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.86 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Noja Cayón
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins0%0%0%0%50%25%
Draws50%50%50%50%0%25%
Loses50%50%50%50%50%50%

Form: Noja: LLDD • Cayón: LWLD

League goals

Metric Noja Cayón
HATHAT
GF total101134
GF avg0.50.00.30.51.51.0
GA total347246
GA avg1.52.01.81.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNojaCayón
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.525%75%50%100%
1.50%50%25%25%
2.50%25%25%25%
3.50%25%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNojaCayón
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricNojaCayón
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNojaCayón
Wins01
Draws00
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-3
Biggest losses0-24-00-13-0
Goals For1013
Goals Against2413

Model comparison

MetricNojaCayón
Form33%67%
Att20%80%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total30.3%69.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cayón

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Noja = 0.63 (league 1.59), Cayón = 1.84 (league 1.22)

Cayón
0 1 2 3 4 5
Noja 0 8.4% 15.5% 14.3% 8.8% 4.1% 1.5%
1 5.3% 9.8% 9.0% 5.5% 2.6% 0.9%
2 1.7% 3.1% 2.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.0% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 65.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1