Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 15:00 •
Estadio El Malecón
Expected Goals
1.88 (league 1.59)
0.13 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 79.9% | 16.8% | 2.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
25.2%
2 - 0
23.7%
3 - 0
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Guarnizo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gimnástica Torrelavega | 0 | 13.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.2% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 23.7% | 3.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.9% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gimnástica Torrelavega | Guarnizo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 5 |
| Form | 75% | 33% |
| Attack | 28% | 22% |
| Defense | 94% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
57%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gimnástica Torrelavega | Guarnizo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 75% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
Form: Gimnástica Torrelavega: LWWW • Guarnizo: LWDLD
League goals
| Metric | Gimnástica Torrelavega | Guarnizo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gimnástica Torrelavega | Guarnizo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 25% | 60% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 0% | 20% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gimnástica Torrelavega | Guarnizo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gimnástica Torrelavega | Guarnizo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gimnástica Torrelavega | Guarnizo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 1-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gimnástica Torrelavega | Guarnizo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 89% | 11% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 85% | 15% |
| Total | 73.8% | 26.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Gimnástica Torrelavega or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Gimnástica Torrelavega = 1.88 (league 1.59), Guarnizo = 0.13 (league 1.18)
| Guarnizo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gimnástica Torrelavega | 0 | 13.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.2% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 23.7% | 3.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 14.9% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.9% · Draw 16.8% · Away win 2.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1