Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 15:00 •
Campo Riomar
Expected Goals
6.90 (league 1.59)
0.34 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
best score tips
5 - 0
9.4%
4 - 0
6.8%
3 - 0
3.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Noja | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castro | 0 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 9.4% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Castro | Noja |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 13% |
| Attack | 67% | 11% |
| Defense | 61% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Castro | Noja | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 50% | 33% | 40% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Loses | 0% | 67% | 40% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
Form: Castro: DLWDL • Noja: LLDDL
League goals
| Metric | Castro | Noja | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GF avg | 5.5 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| GA total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Castro | Noja | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 80% | 40% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 60% | 0% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 4.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Castro | Noja | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Castro | Noja |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Castro | Noja |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 9-0 | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Castro | Noja |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 86% | 14% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 62.6% | 37.4% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Castro and +1.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Castro = 6.90 (league 1.59), Noja = 0.34 (league 1.18)
| Noja | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castro | 0 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 9.4% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.9% · Draw 0.4% · Away win 0.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1