Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:45 •
Estadio El Pilar
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.59)
0.43 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.0% | 39.8% | 18.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
28.7%
1 - 0
23.4%
0 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Cartes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guarnizo | 0 | 28.7% | 12.4% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Guarnizo | Cartes |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 27% |
| Attack | 36% | 27% |
| Defense | 36% | 45% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Guarnizo | Cartes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 17% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 33% | 67% | 50% | 33% | 67% | 50% |
Form: Guarnizo: LWDLDL • Cartes: WDLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Guarnizo | Cartes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Guarnizo | Cartes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 83% | 50% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 33% | 17% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Guarnizo | Cartes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Guarnizo | Cartes |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Guarnizo | Cartes |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Guarnizo | Cartes |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 57.7% | 42.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Guarnizo or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Guarnizo = 0.82 (league 1.59), Cartes = 0.43 (league 1.18)
| Cartes | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guarnizo | 0 | 28.7% | 12.4% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.0% · Draw 39.8% · Away win 18.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1