Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 16:15 •
Estadio Juan Hormaechea
Expected Goals
3.78 (league 1.59)
0.25 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 77.1% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
best score tips
3 - 0
15.9%
4 - 0
15.1%
2 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Noja | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Albericia | 0 | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.6% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.9% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 15.1% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 11.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atlético Albericia | Noja |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 13% |
| Attack | 100% | 27% |
| Defense | 64% | 18% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atlético Albericia | Noja | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 100% | 67% | 83% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 17% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
Form: Atlético Albericia: WWWWWL • Noja: LLDDLL
League goals
| Metric | Atlético Albericia | Noja | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 7 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atlético Albericia | Noja | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 50% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 83% | 33% | 0% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atlético Albericia | Noja | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atlético Albericia | Noja |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atlético Albericia | Noja |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-2 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atlético Albericia | Noja |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 86% | 14% |
| Att | 80% | 20% |
| Def | 69% | 31% |
| Poisson Distribution | 91% | 9% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 77.2% | 22.8% |
Advice: Winner : Atlético Albericia
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Atlético Albericia = 3.78 (league 1.59), Noja = 0.25 (league 1.18)
| Noja | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Albericia | 0 | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.6% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.9% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 15.1% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 11.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.1% · Draw 3.9% · Away win 0.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1