Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 16:00 • Campo Riomar
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.52) 1.12 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.6% 21.7% 21.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Torina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castro 0 4.5% 5.1% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 8.9% 10.0% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.9% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.8% 6.5% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.9% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCastroTorina
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack75%38%
Defense75%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Castro Torina
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%0%29%50%67%57%
Draws33%50%43%25%33%29%
Loses0%50%29%25%0%14%

Form: Castro: DLWDLWD • Torina: WDLWWWD

League goals

Metric Castro Torina
HATHAT
GF total13114448
GF avg4.30.32.01.01.31.1
GA total358325
GA avg1.01.31.10.80.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCastroTorina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%71%86%71%
1.543%43%29%0%
2.514%0%0%0%
3.514%0%0%0%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCastroTorina
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score033101

Penalties

MetricCastroTorina
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCastroTorina
Wins13
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins9-0—2-11-2
Biggest losses—2-00-1—
Goals For9122
Goals Against2211

Model comparison

MetricCastroTorina
Form44%56%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h15%85%
Goals25%75%
Total43.7%56.3%

Advice: Double chance : Castro or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ William Hill
Draw3.26 @ 1xBet
Away3.46 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Superbet
No1.86 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.69 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Castro = 1.97 (league 1.52), Torina = 1.12 (league 1.16)

Torina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castro 0 4.5% 5.1% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 8.9% 10.0% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.9% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.8% 6.5% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.9% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.6% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 21.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1