Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 15:00 •
Campo La Caseta
Expected Goals
1.84 (league 1.52)
1.47 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.3% | 22.6% | 30.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.9%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 2
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Barquereño | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Noja | 0 | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Noja | Barquereño |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 27% |
| Attack | 25% | 38% |
| Defense | 69% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Noja | Barquereño | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 0% | 25% | 14% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
| Loses | 67% | 50% | 57% | 50% | 100% | 71% |
Form: Noja: LLDDLLW • Barquereño: LLLLWLD
League goals
| Metric | Noja | Barquereño | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 5 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 16 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Noja | Barquereño | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 71% | 43% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 57% | 29% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 14% | 14% | 43% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 14% | 14% | 29% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Noja | Barquereño | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Noja | Barquereño |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Noja | Barquereño |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | 4-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Noja | Barquereño |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 55.3% | 44.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Noja or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Noja = 1.84 (league 1.52), Barquereño = 1.47 (league 1.16)
| Barquereño | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Noja | 0 | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 6.7% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.3% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 30.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1