Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 16:30 •
Campo Municipal Santa Ana
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.52)
0.08 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.1% | 33.2% | 2.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
33.8%
0 - 0
30.4%
2 - 0
18.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Guarnizo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tropezón | 0 | 30.4% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 33.8% | 2.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tropezón | Guarnizo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 20% |
| Attack | 38% | 23% |
| Defense | 85% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
51%
FT probability
2.5+
36%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tropezón | Guarnizo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 67% | 75% | 71% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 67% | 43% |
Form: Tropezón: WWWDWWD • Guarnizo: LWDLDLD
League goals
| Metric | Tropezón | Guarnizo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tropezón | Guarnizo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 43% | 57% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 0% | 14% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tropezón | Guarnizo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tropezón | Guarnizo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tropezón | Guarnizo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tropezón | Guarnizo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 79% | 21% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 78% | 22% |
| Poisson Distribution | 91% | 9% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 72.7% | 27.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Tropezón or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tropezón = 1.11 (league 1.52), Guarnizo = 0.08 (league 1.13)
| Guarnizo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tropezón | 0 | 30.4% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 33.8% | 2.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.1% · Draw 33.2% · Away win 2.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1