Castro vs Colindres

Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 — Spain

Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 16:00 • Campo Riomar

Match Finished

Castro

2 - 1

Colindres

Expected Goals

2.95 (league 1.52) 0.30 (league 1.20)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
81.9%	8.2%	2.0%

best score tips

2 - 0

16.9%

3 - 0

16.6%

4 - 0

12.2%

Score & goals probability table

		Colindres
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Castro	0	3.9%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	11.5%	3.4%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	16.9%	5.1%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	16.6%	5.0%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	12.2%	3.7%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	7.2%	2.2%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Castro	Colindres
Played	5	5
Form	53%	7%
Attack	23%	8%
Defense	85%	46%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.6	1 \| 0.2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	2 \| 0.4	7 \| 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%

FT probability

2.5+

50%

FT probability

3.5+

36%

FT probability

BTTS

59%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Castro			Colindres
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	5	6	11	6	5	11
Wins	60%	17%	36%	0%	0%	0%
Draws	40%	33%	36%	33%	40%	36%
Loses	0%	50%	27%	67%	60%	64%

Form: Castro: DLWDLWDWLDW • Colindres: DLDLDLLLDLL

League goals

Metric	Castro			Colindres
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	14	3	17	2	3	5
GF avg	2.8	0.5	1.5	0.3	0.6	0.5
GA total	3	7	10	8	8	16
GA avg	0.6	1.2	0.9	1.3	1.6	1.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Castro		Colindres
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	64%	55%	36%	91%
1.5	27%	36%	9%	55%
2.5	9%	0%	0%	0%
3.5	9%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	9%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Castro			Colindres
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	3	2	5	0	1	1
Failed to score	1	3	4	4	3	7

Penalties

Metric	Castro	Colindres
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	1

Streaks

Metric	Castro	Colindres
Wins	1	0
Draws	1	1
Losses	1	3

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	9-0	0-1	—	—
Biggest losses	—	2-0	0-2	2-0
Goals For	9	1	1	2
Goals Against	2	2	2	2

Model comparison

Metric	Castro	Colindres
Form	89%	11%
Att	75%	25%
Def	78%	22%
Poisson Distribution	90%	10%
H2h	71%	29%
Goals	70%	30%
Total	78.8%	21.2%

Advice: Double chance : Castro or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Pinnacle

Draw3.80 @ Pinnacle

Away6.26 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle

Under 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ 1xBet

No1.72 @ 1xBet

Bookmaker: Select to view full market tables.

Pinnacle Updated: 2025-11-23T08:00:53+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.50
Draw	3.80
Away	5.86

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	2.14
Away -1.25	1.65
Home -1	1.86
Away -1	1.89
Home -0.75	1.63
Away -0.75	2.18
Home -0.5	1.48
Away -0.5	2.44
Home -0.25	1.32
Away -0.25	3.05
Home -1.75	2.88
Away -1.75	1.36
Home -1.5	2.41
Away -1.5	1.50

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.33
Under 1.5	2.93
Over 1.75	1.36
Under 1.75	2.89
Over 2.0	1.46
Under 2.0	2.51
Over 2.25	1.71
Under 2.25	2.05
Over 2.5	1.96
Under 2.5	1.81
Over 2.75	2.22
Under 2.75	1.61
Over 3.0	2.67
Under 3.0	1.41
Over 3.25	3.00
Under 3.25	1.33

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.79
Under 1.5	1.37
Over 0.5	1.38
Under 0.5	2.77
Over 0.75	1.54
Under 0.75	2.34
Over 1.0	1.88
Under 1.0	1.86
Over 1.25	2.35
Under 1.25	1.53

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.67
Under 1.5	2.13

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.78
Under 0.5	1.97

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home -1	3.64
Away -1	1.23
Home -0.75	2.45
Away -0.75	1.49
Home -0.5	2.00
Away -0.5	1.76
Home -0.25	1.60
Away -0.25	2.20
Home +0	1.21
Away +0	3.83
Home +0.25	1.14
Away +0.25	4.49

Bet ID 105 — Home Team Total Goals(1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.64
Under 0.5	2.13

1xBet Updated: 2025-11-23T08:00:53+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.50
Draw	3.80
Away	6.26

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.87
Draw	2.55
Away	6.11

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1	1.84
Away -1	1.86
Home +0	1.15
Away +0	4.60
Home -2	3.80
Away -2	1.22
Home -1.5	2.40
Away -1.5	1.50
Home -2.5	4.70
Away -2.5	1.15
Home -3.5	9.70
Away -3.5	1.02

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.30
Under 1.5	3.20
Over 2.0	1.48
Under 2.0	2.48
Over 2.5	1.93
Under 2.5	1.78
Over 3.5	3.30
Under 3.5	1.29
Over 3.0	2.65
Under 3.0	1.42
Over 4.5	6.50
Under 4.5	1.08
Over 4.0	5.20
Under 4.0	1.13

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.75
Under 1.5	1.40
Over 2.5	6.90
Under 2.5	1.07
Over 0.5	1.37
Under 0.5	2.85
Over 1.0	1.82
Under 1.0	1.88

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.10
Under 1.5	1.65
Over 2.5	4.50
Under 2.5	1.16
Over 0.5	1.23
Under 0.5	3.70
Over 1.0	1.45
Under 1.0	2.55

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	20.00
Home/Away	60.00
Draw/Away	13.00
Draw/Draw	5.20
Home/Home	2.30
Draw/Home	4.20
Away/Home	22.00
Away/Draw	20.00
Away/Away	10.50

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	2.03
No	1.72

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	5.60
2:0	6.20
2:1	7.90
3:0	9.90
3:1	12.50
3:2	28.00
4:0	24.00
4:1	35.00
0:0	9.20
1:1	7.10
2:2	18.00
0:1	12.50
0:2	28.00
0:3	60.00
1:2	17.00
1:3	46.00
2:3	49.00
3:3	100.00
0:4	100.00
1:4	100.00
2:4	100.00
4:2	95.00
0:5	100.00
0:6	100.00
1:5	100.00
1:6	100.00
2:5	100.00
2:6	100.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	70.00
5:1	100.00
5:2	100.00
6:0	100.00
6:1	100.00
6:2	100.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	100.00
3:6	100.00
4:5	100.00
4:6	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
5:6	100.00
6:3	100.00
6:4	100.00
6:5	100.00
4:4	100.00
7:0	100.00
7:1	100.00
7:2	100.00
7:3	100.00
7:4	100.00
7:5	100.00
7:6	100.00
8:0	100.00
8:1	100.00
8:2	100.00
8:3	100.00
8:4	100.00
8:5	100.00
8:6	100.00
8:7	100.00
9:0	100.00
9:1	100.00
9:2	100.00
9:3	100.00
9:4	100.00
9:5	100.00
9:6	100.00
9:7	100.00
9:8	100.00
10:0	100.00
10:1	100.00
10:2	100.00
10:3	100.00
10:4	100.00
10:5	100.00
10:6	100.00
10:7	100.00
10:8	100.00
10:9	100.00
5:5	100.00
6:6	100.00
7:7	100.00
8:8	100.00
9:9	100.00
10:10	100.00
0:7	100.00
0:8	100.00
0:9	100.00
0:10	100.00
1:7	100.00
1:8	100.00
1:9	100.00
1:10	100.00
2:7	100.00
2:8	100.00
2:9	100.00
2:10	100.00
3:7	100.00
3:8	100.00
3:9	100.00
3:10	100.00
4:7	100.00
4:8	100.00
4:9	100.00
4:10	100.00
5:7	100.00
5:8	100.00
5:9	100.00
5:10	100.00
6:7	100.00
6:8	100.00
6:9	100.00
6:10	100.00
7:8	100.00
7:9	100.00
7:10	100.00
8:9	100.00
8:10	100.00
9:10	100.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.50
1st Half	3.00
2nd Half	2.03

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.09
Home/Away	1.22
Draw/Away	2.44

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.10
Draw	2.18
Away	6.47

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.70
Under 1.5	2.04
Over 2.5	3.20
Under 2.5	1.30
Over 3.5	7.00
Under 3.5	1.07
Over 0.5	1.12
Under 0.5	5.30

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	4.30
Under 1.5	1.18
Over 1	2.90
Under 1	1.36
Over 0.5	1.72
Under 0.5	2.00

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home +0	1.23
Away +0	3.70

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.09
Home/Away	1.61
Draw/Away	1.67

Bet ID 33 — Double Chance - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.09
Home/Away	1.45
Draw/Away	1.85

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.92
Even	1.88

Bet ID 104 — Asian Handicap (2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Home -1	2.90
Away -1	1.35

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Castro vs Colindres

Expected goals (λ): Castro = 2.95 (league 1.52), Colindres = 0.30 (league 1.20)

		Colindres
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Castro	0	3.9%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	11.5%	3.4%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	16.9%	5.1%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	16.6%	5.0%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	12.2%	3.7%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	7.2%	2.2%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 81.9% · Draw 8.2% · Away win 2.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Castro	Colindres
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	1