Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 11:00 •
Estadio Fernando Astobiza
Expected Goals
1.66 (league 1.52)
0.60 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.4% | 23.8% | 13.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.3%
2 - 0
14.4%
0 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Guarnizo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cayón | 0 | 10.4% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.3% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Cayón | Guarnizo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 67% |
| Attack | 54% | 69% |
| Defense | 85% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Cayón | Guarnizo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 60% | 67% | 64% | 50% | 20% | 36% |
| Draws | 20% | 17% | 18% | 33% | 20% | 27% |
| Loses | 20% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 60% | 36% |
Form: Cayón: LWLDWWDWWWW • Guarnizo: LWDLDLDWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Cayón | Guarnizo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 9 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Cayón | Guarnizo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 64% | 73% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 9% | 36% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 9% | 9% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Cayón | Guarnizo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Cayón | Guarnizo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Cayón | Guarnizo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 1-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Cayón | Guarnizo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 59.0% | 41.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Cayón or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Cayón = 1.66 (league 1.52), Guarnizo = 0.60 (league 1.20)
| Guarnizo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cayón | 0 | 10.4% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.3% | 10.4% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.4% | 8.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.4% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 13.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1