Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 15:00 •
Estadio El Castañal
Expected Goals
2.27 (league 1.52)
0.67 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.9% | 16.9% | 9.3% |
best score tips
2 - 0
13.7%
1 - 0
12.0%
3 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Barquereño | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Selaya | 0 | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.0% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.7% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.3% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Selaya | Barquereño |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 27% |
| Attack | 13% | 31% |
| Defense | 63% | 31% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Selaya | Barquereño | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Loses | 17% | 100% | 58% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
Form: Selaya: DLWWLLDLWLLL • Barquereño: LLLLWLDDLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Selaya | Barquereño | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 5 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 27 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Selaya | Barquereño | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 75% | 50% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 33% | 25% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 8% | 17% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Selaya | Barquereño | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Selaya | Barquereño |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Selaya | Barquereño |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-1 | 1-7 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Selaya | Barquereño |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 65% | 35% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 58.8% | 41.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Selaya or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Selaya = 2.27 (league 1.52), Barquereño = 0.67 (league 1.20)
| Barquereño | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Selaya | 0 | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.0% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.7% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.3% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.9% · Draw 16.9% · Away win 9.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1