Sat, Dec 6 2025 ā¢ 14:30 ā¢
Estadio El Pilar
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.52)
0.42 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.6% | 36.6% | 15.8% |
best score tips
0 - 0
25.5%
1 - 0
24.2%
2 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Castro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guarnizo | 0 | 25.5% | 10.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.2% | 10.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.5% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Guarnizo | Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 56% | 31% |
| Defense | 75% | 81% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
63%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Guarnizo | Castro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 50% | 17% | 33% | 67% | 17% | 42% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 17% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Form: Guarnizo: LWDLDLDWWLWD ā¢ Castro: DLWDLWDWLDWW
League goals
| Metric | Guarnizo | Castro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 7 | 14 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 2.7 | 0.5 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 6 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Guarnizo | Castro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 67% | 67% | 58% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 25% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 17% | 8% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Guarnizo | Castro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Guarnizo | Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Guarnizo | Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | 9-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 2-0 | ā | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 9 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Guarnizo | Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 50.2% | 49.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Guarnizo or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
Expected goals (Ī»): Guarnizo = 0.95 (league 1.52), Castro = 0.42 (league 1.20)
| Castro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guarnizo | 0 | 25.5% | 10.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.2% | 10.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.5% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.6% Ā· Draw 36.6% Ā· Away win 15.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1