Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 16:00 • Campo Riomar
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
2.66 (league 1.52) 0.79 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.8% 14.3% 8.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.3%
3 - 0
10.0%
2 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Revilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castro 0 3.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.5% 6.7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.3% 8.9% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.0% 7.9% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.6% 5.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCastroRevilla
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack33%83%
Defense58%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Castro Revilla
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins67%14%38%43%33%38%
Draws33%29%31%14%17%15%
Loses0%57%31%43%50%46%

Form: Castro: DLWDLWDWLDWWL • Revilla: LLLDWLWLLWWWD

League goals

Metric Castro Revilla
HATHAT
GF total1631911819
GF avg2.70.41.51.61.31.5
GA total491314923
GA avg0.71.31.02.01.51.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCastroRevilla
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%62%54%77%
1.531%38%46%54%
2.58%0%31%31%
3.58%0%8%15%
4.58%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCastroRevilla
HATHAT
Clean sheets325123
Failed to score145246

Penalties

MetricCastroRevilla
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCastroRevilla
Wins23
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins9-00-13-10-5
Biggest losses—2-01-44-0
Goals For9135
Goals Against2244

Model comparison

MetricCastroRevilla
Form41%59%
Att29%71%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h60%40%
Goals64%36%
Total55.7%44.3%

Advice: Double chance : Castro or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ Betano
Draw3.35 @ Superbet
Away4.30 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.75 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Superbet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Castro = 2.66 (league 1.52), Revilla = 0.79 (league 1.16)

Revilla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castro 0 3.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.5% 6.7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.3% 8.9% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 10.0% 7.9% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.6% 5.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 3.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.8% · Draw 14.3% · Away win 8.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1