Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 14:30 • Estadio El Pilar
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.71 (league 1.52) 0.71 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.5% 23.5% 15.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.1%
2 - 0
12.9%
1 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Barquereño
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guarnizo 0 8.9% 6.3% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.1% 10.8% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.9% 9.2% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.4% 5.3% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuarnizoBarquereño
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack73%64%
Defense64%9%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guarnizo Barquereño
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins57%29%43%29%14%21%
Draws29%29%29%14%29%21%
Loses14%43%29%57%57%57%

Form: Guarnizo: LWDLDLDWWLWDWW • Barquereño: LLLLWLDDLLWLDW

League goals

Metric Guarnizo Barquereño
HATHAT
GF total98178614
GF avg1.31.11.21.10.91.0
GA total6814131427
GA avg0.91.11.01.92.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuarnizoBarquereño
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%57%50%71%
1.536%21%29%43%
2.57%14%14%29%
3.50%7%7%21%
4.50%0%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuarnizoBarquereño
HATHAT
Clean sheets426224
Failed to score123347

Penalties

MetricGuarnizoBarquereño
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGuarnizoBarquereño
Wins21
Draws12
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-34-11-3
Biggest losses1-42-01-75-0
Goals For2343
Goals Against4375

Model comparison

MetricGuarnizoBarquereño
Form59%41%
Att53%47%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h80%20%
Goals68%32%
Total67.3%32.7%

Advice: Double chance : Guarnizo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ William Hill
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away4.54 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Superbet
No1.77 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Guarnizo = 1.71 (league 1.52), Barquereño = 0.71 (league 1.13)

Barquereño
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guarnizo 0 8.9% 6.3% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.1% 10.8% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.9% 9.2% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.4% 5.3% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.5% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 15.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1