Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 11:00 •
Estadio El Malecón
Expected Goals
2.30 (league 1.52)
0.14 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 83.8% | 11.7% | 1.5% |
best score tips
2 - 0
23.1%
1 - 0
20.0%
3 - 0
17.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Castro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gimnástica Torrelavega | 0 | 8.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.0% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 23.0% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 17.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gimnástica Torrelavega | Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 53% |
| Attack | 100% | 67% |
| Defense | 83% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gimnástica Torrelavega | Castro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 86% | 86% | 86% | 57% | 14% | 36% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 43% | 29% | 36% |
| Loses | 14% | 14% | 14% | 0% | 57% | 29% |
Gimnástica TorrelavegaLWWWWWWLWWWWWW
CastroDLWDLWDWLDWWLD
League goals
| Metric | Gimnástica Torrelavega | Castro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 14 | 33 | 17 | 3 | 20 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gimnástica Torrelavega | Castro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 93% | 36% | 64% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 7% | 29% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 43% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 36% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gimnástica Torrelavega | Castro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gimnástica Torrelavega | Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gimnástica Torrelavega | Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-4 | 9-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 9 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gimnástica Torrelavega | Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 65% | 35% |
| Att | 80% | 20% |
| Def | 80% | 20% |
| Poisson Distribution | 94% | 6% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 79% | 21% |
| Total | 77.0% | 23.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.30 @ Bet365
Draw4.97 @ Pinnacle
Away12.00 @ William Hill
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.42 @ 188Bet
No1.57 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365
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League standings
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