Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 11:00 • Estadio El Malecón
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.30 (league 1.52) 0.14 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
83.8% 11.7% 1.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
23.1%
1 - 0
20.0%
3 - 0
17.7%
Score & goals probability table
Castro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gimnástica Torrelavega 0 8.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.0% 2.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 23.1% 3.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 17.7% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.2% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGimnástica TorrelavegaCastro
Played55
Form100%53%
Attack100%50%
Defense88%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gimnástica Torrelavega Castro
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins86%86%86%57%14%36%
Draws0%0%0%43%29%36%
Loses14%14%14%0%57%29%

Form: Gimnástica Torrelavega: LWWWWWWLWWWWWW • Castro: DLWDLWDWLDWWLD

League goals

Metric Gimnástica Torrelavega Castro
HATHAT
GF total19143317320
GF avg2.72.02.42.40.41.4
GA total3365914
GA avg0.40.40.40.71.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGimnástica TorrelavegaCastro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%36%64%64%
1.557%7%29%36%
2.543%0%7%0%
3.536%0%7%0%
4.57%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGimnástica TorrelavegaCastro
HATHAT
Clean sheets549325
Failed to score011145

Penalties

MetricGimnástica TorrelavegaCastro
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricGimnástica TorrelavegaCastro
Wins62
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-49-00-1
Biggest losses1-21-02-0
Goals For5491
Goals Against2122

Model comparison

MetricGimnástica TorrelavegaCastro
Form65%35%
Att80%20%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution94%6%
H2h64%36%
Goals79%21%
Total77.0%23.0%

Advice: Winner : Gimnástica Torrelavega

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.31 @ Betano
Draw4.90 @ Superbet
Away11.30 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.27 @ Marathonbet
No1.56 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gimnástica Torrelavega = 2.30 (league 1.52), Castro = 0.14 (league 1.16)

Castro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gimnástica Torrelavega 0 8.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.0% 2.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 23.1% 3.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 17.7% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.2% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 83.8% · Draw 11.7% · Away win 1.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1