Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 16:00 • Campo Riomar
Match Finished
4 - 1
Expected Goals
3.00 (league 1.52) 0.37 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
80.7% 8.5% 2.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.5%
3 - 0
15.5%
4 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Cartes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castro 0 3.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.3% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.5% 5.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.5% 5.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.6% 4.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.0% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCastroCartes
Played55
Form47%7%
Attack36%9%
Defense27%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.81 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Castro Cartes
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins57%13%33%13%14%13%
Draws43%25%33%38%14%27%
Loses0%63%33%50%71%60%

Form: Castro: DLWDLWDWLDWWLDL • Cartes: WDLLLWDLLDLLLLD

League goals

Metric Castro Cartes
HATHAT
GF total17320347
GF avg2.40.41.30.40.60.5
GA total51318111324
GA avg0.71.61.21.41.91.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCastroCartes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%67%40%73%
1.527%40%7%40%
2.57%7%0%27%
3.57%7%0%13%
4.57%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCastroCartes
HATHAT
Clean sheets325314
Failed to score156639

Penalties

MetricCastroCartes
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCastroCartes
Wins21
Draws11
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins9-00-12-00-1
Biggest losses—4-00-54-1
Goals For9121
Goals Against2454

Model comparison

MetricCastroCartes
Form88%13%
Att80%20%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total67.0%33.2%

Advice: Double chance : Castro or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.67 @ Betano
Draw3.61 @ Pinnacle
Away5.64 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Superbet
No1.75 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.72 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Castro = 3.00 (league 1.52), Cartes = 0.37 (league 1.13)

Cartes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castro 0 3.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 10.3% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.5% 5.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.5% 5.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.6% 4.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.0% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.7% · Draw 8.5% · Away win 2.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1