Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 16:00 •
Campo Municipal Santa Ana
Expected Goals
1.89 (league 1.52)
0.49 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.9% | 20.0% | 8.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.4%
2 - 0
16.5%
3 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Noja | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tropezón | 0 | 9.2% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.4% | 8.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.5% | 8.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.4% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tropezón | Noja |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 33% |
| Attack | 87% | 27% |
| Defense | 53% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tropezón | Noja | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Wins | 67% | 63% | 65% | 13% | 22% | 18% |
| Draws | 11% | 13% | 12% | 38% | 22% | 29% |
| Loses | 22% | 25% | 24% | 50% | 56% | 53% |
Form: Tropezón: WWWDWWDLWLWWWLWLW • Noja: LLDDLLWDLLLWWLLDD
League goals
| Metric | Tropezón | Noja | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 12 | 28 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 21 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tropezón | Noja | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 53% | 47% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 18% | 6% | 41% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 12% | 0% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tropezón | Noja | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tropezón | Noja |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tropezón | Noja |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-3 | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tropezón | Noja |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 76% | 24% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 65.3% | 34.8% |
Advice: Winner : Tropezón
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tropezón = 1.89 (league 1.52), Noja = 0.49 (league 1.13)
| Noja | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tropezón | 0 | 9.2% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.4% | 8.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.5% | 8.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.4% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.9% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 8.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1