Wed, Feb 25 2026 • 18:00 • Estadio El Castañal
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.50) 1.47 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.1% 26.4% 58.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.5%
0 - 2
13.7%
0 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Guarnizo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Selaya 0 12.6% 18.5% 13.7% 6.7% 2.5% 0.7%
1 7.5% 11.1% 8.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4%
2 2.3% 3.3% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSelayaGuarnizo
Played55
Form13%60%
Attack13%50%
Defense50%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Selaya Guarnizo
HATHAT
Played111122121022
Wins27%0%14%50%50%50%
Draws27%18%23%25%20%23%
Loses45%82%64%25%30%27%

Form: Selaya: DLWWLLDLWLLLDLLLLDDLLL • Guarnizo: LWDLDLDWWLWDWWWWDLWWWL

League goals

Metric Selaya Guarnizo
HATHAT
GF total10414141428
GF avg0.90.40.61.21.41.3
GA total131528111021
GA avg1.21.41.30.91.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSelayaGuarnizo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.545%77%77%59%
1.514%36%41%18%
2.55%9%9%14%
3.50%5%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSelayaGuarnizo
HATHAT
Clean sheets415639
Failed to score5712325

Penalties

MetricSelayaGuarnizo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSelayaGuarnizo
Wins24
Draws21
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—2-00-3
Biggest losses0-43-11-42-0
Goals For3123
Goals Against4343

Model comparison

MetricSelayaGuarnizo
Form18%82%
Att20%80%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h50%50%
Goals46%54%
Total34.0%66.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Guarnizo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.50 @ Betfair
Draw3.27 @ Pinnacle
Away2.15 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.58 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ William Hill
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Selaya = 0.60 (league 1.50), Guarnizo = 1.47 (league 1.14)

Guarnizo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Selaya 0 12.6% 18.5% 13.7% 6.7% 2.5% 0.7%
1 7.5% 11.1% 8.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4%
2 2.3% 3.3% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.1% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 58.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1