Wed, Feb 25 2026 • 19:00 • Campo Riomar
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.50) 0.84 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.2% 27.6% 22.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.0%
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Escobedo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castro 0 10.8% 9.1% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.0% 12.6% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.3% 8.7% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.7% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCastroEscobedo
Played55
Form40%80%
Attack44%63%
Defense50%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Castro Escobedo
HATHAT
Played101222111122
Wins60%17%36%82%45%64%
Draws30%17%23%0%9%5%
Loses10%67%41%18%45%32%

Form: Castro: DLWDLWDWLDWWLDLWLLLWLW • Escobedo: WWDWLWLWWWLLWWLLWWWWLW

League goals

Metric Castro Escobedo
HATHAT
GF total23932311344
GF avg2.30.81.52.81.22.0
GA total82230161026
GA avg0.81.81.41.50.91.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCastroEscobedo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%73%86%64%
1.532%45%55%36%
2.514%14%36%14%
3.514%5%14%5%
4.55%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCastroEscobedo
HATHAT
Clean sheets426358
Failed to score268123

Penalties

MetricCastroEscobedo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCastroEscobedo
Wins24
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins9-01-46-00-3
Biggest losses0-24-01-43-1
Goals For9463
Goals Against2443

Model comparison

MetricCastroEscobedo
Form33%67%
Att41%59%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h0%100%
Goals7%93%
Total34.8%65.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Escobedo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.13 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.40 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.86 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Castro = 1.38 (league 1.50), Escobedo = 0.84 (league 1.14)

Escobedo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castro 0 10.8% 9.1% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.0% 12.6% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.3% 8.7% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.7% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.2% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 22.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1