Sun, Jan 25 2026 • 16:00 •
Estadio El Castañar
Expected Goals
0.66 (league 1.51)
2.13 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 10.1% | 18.3% | 69.4% |
best score tips
0 - 2
14.0%
0 - 1
13.1%
0 - 3
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Tropezón | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Barquereño | 0 | 6.2% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Barquereño | Tropezón |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 60% |
| Attack | 32% | 45% |
| Defense | 77% | 68% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Barquereño | Tropezón | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 10 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 38% | 20% | 28% | 70% | 63% | 67% |
| Draws | 13% | 20% | 17% | 10% | 13% | 11% |
| Loses | 50% | 60% | 56% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
Form: Barquereño: LLLLWLDDLLWLDWLWWL • Tropezón: WWWDWWDLWLWWWLWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Barquereño | Tropezón | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 10 | 19 | 18 | 12 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 13 | 19 | 32 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Barquereño | Tropezón | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 61% | 67% | 83% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 28% | 44% | 44% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 28% | 28% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 17% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 11% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Barquereño | Tropezón | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Barquereño | Tropezón |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Barquereño | Tropezón |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-7 | 5-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 7 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Barquereño | Tropezón |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 41% | 59% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 22% | 78% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 44.2% | 55.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Tropezón
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Barquereño = 0.66 (league 1.51), Tropezón = 2.13 (league 1.13)
| Tropezón | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Barquereño | 0 | 6.2% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.1% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 69.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1