Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 16:00 • Campo Riomar
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.79 (league 1.50) 0.71 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.0% 12.7% 6.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.8%
3 - 0
10.9%
1 - 0
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Barquereño
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castro 0 3.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.4% 6.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.8% 8.4% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.9% 7.8% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.6% 5.4% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCastroBarquereño
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack58%67%
Defense42%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Castro Barquereño
HATHAT
Played111223111122
Wins55%17%35%45%18%32%
Draws27%17%22%9%18%14%
Loses18%67%43%45%64%55%

Form: Castro: DLWDLWDWLDWWLDLWLLLWLWL • Barquereño: LLLLWLDDLLWLDWLWWLLLWW

League goals

Metric Castro Barquereño
HATHAT
GF total24933151025
GF avg2.20.81.41.40.91.1
GA total102232162137
GA avg0.91.81.41.51.91.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCastroBarquereño
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%74%59%73%
1.530%48%32%41%
2.513%13%14%23%
3.513%4%9%14%
4.54%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCastroBarquereño
HATHAT
Clean sheets426336
Failed to score268459

Penalties

MetricCastroBarquereño
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricCastroBarquereño
Wins22
Draws12
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins9-01-44-11-3
Biggest losses0-24-01-75-0
Goals For9443
Goals Against2475

Model comparison

MetricCastroBarquereño
Form50%50%
Att47%53%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h62%38%
Goals63%38%
Total58.8%41.3%

Advice: Double chance : Castro or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away4.00 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.86 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ William Hill
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Castro = 2.79 (league 1.50), Barquereño = 0.71 (league 1.14)

Barquereño
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castro 0 3.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.4% 6.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.8% 8.4% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.9% 7.8% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.6% 5.4% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.0% · Draw 12.7% · Away win 6.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1