Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 15:00 • Campo Riomar
Match Finished
3 - 1
Expected Goals
1.91 (league 1.50) 0.35 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.1% 18.7% 5.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.9%
2 - 0
19.0%
3 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Selaya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castro 0 10.4% 3.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.9% 7.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.0% 6.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.1% 4.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.8% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCastroSelaya
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack55%27%
Defense36%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Castro Selaya
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins54%14%33%29%0%15%
Draws31%21%26%21%23%22%
Loses15%64%41%50%77%63%

Form: Castro: DLWDLWDWLDWWLDLWLLLWLWLWDDL • Selaya: DLWWLLDLWLLLDLLLLDDLLLLLWDL

League goals

Metric Castro Selaya
HATHAT
GF total28103812517
GF avg2.20.71.40.90.40.6
GA total132437181735
GA avg1.01.71.41.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCastroSelaya
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%74%44%78%
1.533%48%15%37%
2.511%11%4%11%
3.511%4%0%4%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCastroSelaya
HATHAT
Clean sheets437516
Failed to score2797815

Penalties

MetricCastroSelaya
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCastroSelaya
Wins22
Draws22
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins9-01-43-0—
Biggest losses0-24-00-43-1
Goals For9431
Goals Against2443

Model comparison

MetricCastroSelaya
Form56%44%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total61.2%38.8%

Advice: Double chance : Castro or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.68 @ Unibet
Draw3.50 @ Betano
Away5.40 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.68 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ Superbet
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Castro = 1.91 (league 1.50), Selaya = 0.35 (league 1.14)

Selaya
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castro 0 10.4% 3.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.9% 7.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.0% 6.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.1% 4.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.8% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.1% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 5.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1