Thu, Apr 2 2026 • 15:00 • Estadio El Pilar
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.49) 0.77 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.0% 34.6% 29.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.2%
1 - 0
16.9%
0 - 1
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
Cayón
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guarnizo 0 19.2% 14.7% 5.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.9% 13.0% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.5% 5.8% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuarnizoCayón
Played55
Form73%40%
Attack38%31%
Defense94%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guarnizo Cayón
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins57%50%54%50%50%50%
Draws21%29%25%14%21%18%
Loses21%21%21%36%29%32%

Form: Guarnizo: LWDLDLDWWLWDWWWWDLWWWLWDWDWW • Cayón: LWLDWWDWWWWDDLDWWLWWLWLLWLWL

League goals

Metric Guarnizo Cayón
HATHAT
GF total162137251641
GF avg1.11.51.31.81.11.5
GA total111122151732
GA avg0.80.80.81.11.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuarnizoCayón
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%50%75%68%
1.539%14%39%32%
2.514%11%14%11%
3.50%4%7%4%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuarnizoCayón
HATHAT
Clean sheets8614369
Failed to score336347

Penalties

MetricGuarnizoCayón
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricGuarnizoCayón
Wins44
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-36-11-3
Biggest losses1-42-00-24-1
Goals For2363
Goals Against4324

Model comparison

MetricGuarnizoCayón
Form65%35%
Att55%45%
Def86%14%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total60.7%39.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Guarnizo or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.57 @ Betano
Draw2.92 @ Pinnacle
Away2.91 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.61 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Superbet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Guarnizo = 0.88 (league 1.49), Cayón = 0.77 (league 1.15)

Cayón
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guarnizo 0 19.2% 14.7% 5.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.9% 13.0% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.5% 5.8% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.0% · Draw 34.6% · Away win 29.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1