Sun, Apr 12 2026 ā¢ 15:00 ā¢
Campo Riomar
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.50)
1.31 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.1% | 27.0% | 39.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 1
10.9%
1 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Guarnizo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castro | 0 | 8.3% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Castro | Guarnizo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 87% |
| Attack | 46% | 54% |
| Defense | 54% | 92% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Castro | Guarnizo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 57% | 13% | 34% | 60% | 50% | 55% |
| Draws | 29% | 20% | 24% | 20% | 29% | 24% |
| Loses | 14% | 67% | 41% | 20% | 21% | 21% |
Form: Castro: DLWDLWDWLDWWLDLWLLLWLWLWDDLWL ā¢ Guarnizo: LWDLDLDWWLWDWWWWDLWWWLWDWDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Castro | Guarnizo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 31 | 10 | 41 | 17 | 21 | 38 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 14 | 25 | 39 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Castro | Guarnizo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 66% | 76% | 79% | 48% |
| 1.5 | 34% | 45% | 38% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 10% | 14% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Castro | Guarnizo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Castro | Guarnizo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Castro | Guarnizo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 9-0 | 1-4 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 1-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Castro | Guarnizo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 28% | 72% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 14% | 86% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 43.7% | 56.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Guarnizo
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
Expected goals (Ī»): Castro = 1.18 (league 1.50), Guarnizo = 1.31 (league 1.14)
| Guarnizo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Castro | 0 | 8.3% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.1% Ā· Draw 27.0% Ā· Away win 39.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1