Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 16:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.52)
1.46 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.9% | 23.8% | 34.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 2
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Atlético Albericia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Laredo | 0 | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Laredo carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 57 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Laredo +13.8, Atlético Albericia +4.0.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Laredo
vs
Atlético Albericia
Elo gapLaredo +57
Home / draw / away44% / 24% / 32%
Expected home share58%
Combined Elo3173.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3173.2
Elo home share
58%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Laredo | Atlético Albericia |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1597.4 | 1575.8 |
| Form Elo | 1626.8 | 1592.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1498.2 | 1543.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1597 | 1629.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1546.3 | 1567.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +13.8 | +4.0 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Laredo last-5 Elo change: +13.8; Atlético Albericia last-5 Elo change: +4.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Laredo | Atlético Albericia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 53% |
| Attack | 100% | 80% |
| Defense | 40% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Laredo | Atlético Albericia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 67% | 56% | 61% | 50% | 60% | 55% |
| Draws | 13% | 31% | 23% | 25% | 7% | 16% |
| Loses | 20% | 13% | 16% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
LaredoWWLWLLWDLDWWDWDWLWWDWWWWWWWWWDD
Atlético AlbericiaWWWWWLLWWDWLLLDWWLLLWWWWDWDWLWD
League goals
| Metric | Laredo | Atlético Albericia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 28 | 29 | 57 | 25 | 31 | 56 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 12 | 13 | 25 | 15 | 20 | 35 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Laredo | Atlético Albericia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 55% | 81% | 68% |
| 1.5 | 58% | 23% | 55% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 3% | 23% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 16% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Laredo | Atlético Albericia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 7 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Laredo | Atlético Albericia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Laredo | Atlético Albericia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-7 | 5-0 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 5 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Laredo | Atlético Albericia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 55.8% | 44.2% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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