Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 15:00 • Campo Riomar
Match Finished
Expected Goals
5.04 (league 1.59) 4.92 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.0% 9.0% 14.3%
best score tips
5 - 4
3.1%
4 - 4
3.1%
5 - 5
3.1%
Score & goals probability table
Montañas Pas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castro 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
1 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6%
2 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 1.2% 1.5% 1.4%
3 0.1% 0.5% 1.2% 2.0% 2.5% 2.4%
4 0.1% 0.6% 1.5% 2.5% 3.1% 3.0%
5 0.1% 0.6% 1.6% 2.5% 3.1% 3.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCastroMontañas Pas
Played22
Form17%0%
Attack17%33%
Defense67%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 14 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 27 | 3.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

70%
FT probability

BTTS

95%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Castro Montañas Pas
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins0%0%0%0%0%0%
Draws100%0%50%0%0%0%
Loses0%100%50%100%100%100%

Form: Castro: DL • Montañas Pas: LL

League goals

Metric Castro Montañas Pas
HATHAT
GF total202134
GF avg2.00.01.01.03.02.0
GA total224347
GA avg2.02.02.03.04.03.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCastroMontañas Pas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%100%100%
1.550%100%50%100%
2.50%0%50%100%
3.50%0%0%50%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCastroMontañas Pas
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricCastroMontañas Pas
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCastroMontañas Pas
Wins00
Draws10
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins
Biggest losses2-01-34-3
Goals For2013
Goals Against2234

Model comparison

MetricCastroMontañas Pas
Form100%0%
Att33%67%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Castro or draw and +3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Castro = 5.04 (league 1.59), Montañas Pas = 4.92 (league 1.22)

Montañas Pas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Castro 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
1 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6%
2 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 1.2% 1.5% 1.4%
3 0.1% 0.5% 1.2% 2.0% 2.5% 2.4%
4 0.1% 0.6% 1.5% 2.5% 3.1% 3.0%
5 0.1% 0.6% 1.6% 2.5% 3.1% 3.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.0% · Draw 9.0% · Away win 14.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1