Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 14:45 • Estadio El Pilar
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.62 (league 1.52) 1.04 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.2% 16.0% 12.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.2%
2 - 0
8.8%
3 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Montañas Pas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guarnizo 0 2.6% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.7% 7.0% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.2% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.7% 8.0% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.1% 5.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
5 2.7% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuarnizoMontañas Pas
Played55
Form47%13%
Attack50%36%
Defense64%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guarnizo Montañas Pas
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins40%20%30%0%0%0%
Draws40%20%30%60%0%30%
Loses20%60%40%40%100%70%

Form: Guarnizo: LWDLDLDWWL • Montañas Pas: LLLDLLLDLD

League goals

Metric Guarnizo Montañas Pas
HATHAT
GF total56115510
GF avg1.01.21.11.01.01.0
GA total671382028
GA avg1.21.41.31.64.02.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuarnizoMontañas Pas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%70%60%80%
1.530%30%20%70%
2.510%20%20%50%
3.50%10%0%30%
4.50%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuarnizoMontañas Pas
HATHAT
Clean sheets213202
Failed to score123224

Penalties

MetricGuarnizoMontañas Pas
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGuarnizoMontañas Pas
Wins20
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-3
Biggest losses1-42-01-39-0
Goals For2333
Goals Against4339

Model comparison

MetricGuarnizoMontañas Pas
Form78%22%
Att58%42%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total67.3%32.8%

Advice: Double chance : Guarnizo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Guarnizo = 2.62 (league 1.52), Montañas Pas = 1.04 (league 1.16)

Montañas Pas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guarnizo 0 2.6% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.7% 7.0% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.2% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.7% 8.0% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.1% 5.3% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
5 2.7% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.2% · Draw 16.0% · Away win 12.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1