Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 11:00 •
Campo de Fútbol San Vicente de Toranzo
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.50)
0.75 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.0% | 24.4% | 16.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.0%
2 - 0
12.3%
1 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Castro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Montañas Pas | 0 | 9.1% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.0% | 11.3% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.3% | 9.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.7% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Montañas Pas | Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 27% |
| Attack | 55% | 64% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 18 | 3.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
87%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Montañas Pas | Castro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| Wins | 22% | 0% | 11% | 63% | 10% | 33% |
| Draws | 44% | 0% | 21% | 38% | 20% | 28% |
| Loses | 33% | 100% | 68% | 0% | 70% | 39% |
Form: Montañas Pas: LLLDLLLDLDLLLWLDLWL • Castro: DLWDLWDWLDWWLDLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Montañas Pas | Castro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 7 | 19 | 21 | 5 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 15 | 42 | 57 | 6 | 19 | 25 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Montañas Pas | Castro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 89% | 67% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 74% | 28% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 53% | 11% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 32% | 11% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 21% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Montañas Pas | Castro | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Montañas Pas | Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Montañas Pas | Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | — | 9-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 9-0 | — | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 9 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 9 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Montañas Pas | Castro |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 50.8% | 49.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Castro
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Montañas Pas = 1.64 (league 1.50), Castro = 0.75 (league 1.13)
| Castro | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Montañas Pas | 0 | 9.1% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.0% | 11.3% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.3% | 9.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.7% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.0% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 16.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1