Sun, May 3 2026 • 16:00 •
Estadio La Vidriera
Expected Goals
3.67 (league 1.53)
0.32 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 77.5% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
best score tips
3 - 0
15.3%
4 - 0
14.0%
2 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Montañas Pas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vimenor | 0 | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.5% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.3% | 4.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 14.0% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 10.3% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Vimenor carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 170 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Vimenor -14.5, Montañas Pas +29.3.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Vimenor
vs
Montañas Pas
Elo gapVimenor +170
Home / draw / away60% / 18% / 22%
Expected home share73%
Combined Elo2987.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2987.3
Elo home share
73%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Vimenor | Montañas Pas |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1561.2 | 1426.1 |
| Form Elo | 1558.3 | 1439.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1552.9 | 1422.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1522.7 | 1414.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1547.3 | 1265.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -14.5 | +29.3 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Vimenor last-5 Elo change: -14.5; Montañas Pas last-5 Elo change: +29.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vimenor | Montañas Pas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 53% |
| Attack | 60% | 50% |
| Defense | 10% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vimenor | Montañas Pas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 69% | 31% | 50% | 31% | 6% | 19% |
| Draws | 13% | 38% | 25% | 44% | 6% | 25% |
| Loses | 19% | 31% | 25% | 25% | 88% | 56% |
VimenorDWWLDWDWLWLWLWWDLWWWWLWWDDWDWLDL
Montañas PasLLLDLLLDLDLLLWLDLWLWLLWDLDLLDDWW
League goals
| Metric | Vimenor | Montañas Pas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 18 | 44 | 22 | 10 | 32 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 10 | 23 | 33 | 22 | 56 | 78 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3.5 | 2.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vimenor | Montañas Pas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 59% | 66% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 25% | 22% | 59% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 9% | 13% | 44% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 6% | 0% | 22% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 16% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vimenor | Montañas Pas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 5 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vimenor | Montañas Pas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vimenor | Montañas Pas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 5-0 | 0-3 | 9-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vimenor | Montañas Pas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 62% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 91% | 9% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 53.3% | 46.7% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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