Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 15:00 •
Estadio Garmendipe
Expected Goals
8.27 (league 1.45)
1.74 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 14.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
best score tips
5 - 1
2.5%
5 - 2
2.2%
4 - 1
1.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Derio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lagun Onak | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lagun Onak | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 67% | 44% |
| Attack | 55% | 36% |
| Defense | 73% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lagun Onak | Derio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
Form: Lagun Onak: LWW • Derio: WLD
League goals
| Metric | Lagun Onak | Derio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GF avg | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lagun Onak | Derio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 33% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 33% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lagun Onak | Derio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lagun Onak | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lagun Onak | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | — | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lagun Onak | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 59.2% | 40.8% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Lagun Onak and +2.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lagun Onak = 8.27 (league 1.45), Derio = 1.74 (league 1.15)
| Derio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lagun Onak | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.8% · Draw 1.2% · Away win 0.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1