Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 09:30 •
Estadio La Florida
Expected Goals
4.48 (league 1.51)
0.44 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
best score tips
4 - 0
12.2%
5 - 0
11.0%
3 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Deusto | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Portugalete | 0 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.9% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 12.2% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 11.0% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Portugalete | Deusto |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 83% | 8% |
| Attack | 100% | 8% |
| Defense | 67% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 7 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Portugalete | Deusto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 75% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% | 75% |
Form: Portugalete: WWDW • Deusto: LLDL
League goals
| Metric | Portugalete | Deusto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| GF avg | 4.5 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Portugalete | Deusto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 75% | 25% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Portugalete | Deusto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Portugalete | Deusto |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Portugalete | Deusto |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 1-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Portugalete | Deusto |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 91% | 9% |
| Att | 92% | 8% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 88% | 12% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 76.7% | 23.5% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Portugalete and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Portugalete = 4.48 (league 1.51), Deusto = 0.44 (league 1.13)
| Deusto | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Portugalete | 0 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.9% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 12.2% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 11.0% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.6% · Draw 3.1% · Away win 0.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1