Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 16:00 •
Campo de Fútbol Ibaiondo
Expected Goals
0.20 (league 1.53)
0.44 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.0% | 57.6% | 30.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
53.0%
0 - 1
23.3%
1 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Pasaia KE | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Derio | 0 | 53.0% | 23.3% | 5.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.4% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Derio | Pasaia KE |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 33% | 58% |
| Attack | 44% | 22% |
| Defense | 22% | 89% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.8 | 1 | 0.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
44%
FT probability
2.5+
31%
FT probability
3.5+
22%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Derio | Pasaia KE | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
Form: Derio: WLDL • Pasaia KE: WLWD
League goals
| Metric | Derio | Pasaia KE | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 1 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Derio | Pasaia KE | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 50% | 25% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 50% | 0% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Derio | Pasaia KE | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Derio | Pasaia KE |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Derio | Pasaia KE |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Derio | Pasaia KE |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 13% | 88% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 91% | 9% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 56.4% | 43.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Derio or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Derio = 0.20 (league 1.53), Pasaia KE = 0.44 (league 1.14)
| Pasaia KE | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Derio | 0 | 53.0% | 23.3% | 5.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.4% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.0% · Draw 57.6% · Away win 30.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1