Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 16:00 •
Estadio Sarriena
Expected Goals
0.33 (league 1.51)
0.44 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.5% | 53.1% | 27.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
46.1%
0 - 1
20.4%
1 - 0
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Aretxabaleta | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leioa | 0 | 46.1% | 20.4% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.3% | 6.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leioa | Aretxabaleta |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 50% | 58% |
| Attack | 17% | 58% |
| Defense | 83% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.5 | 7 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.5 | 3 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
47%
FT probability
2.5+
33%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leioa | Aretxabaleta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Form: Leioa: LWWL • Aretxabaleta: LDWW
League goals
| Metric | Leioa | Aretxabaleta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leioa | Aretxabaleta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 50% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leioa | Aretxabaleta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leioa | Aretxabaleta |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leioa | Aretxabaleta |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-1 | 4-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leioa | Aretxabaleta |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 22% | 78% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 35% | 65% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 43.8% | 56.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Aretxabaleta and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Leioa = 0.33 (league 1.51), Aretxabaleta = 0.44 (league 1.13)
| Aretxabaleta | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leioa | 0 | 46.1% | 20.4% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.3% | 6.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.5% · Draw 53.1% · Away win 27.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1