Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 15:00 • Estadio Olaranbe
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.53) 1.76 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.0% 23.1% 43.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
1 - 2
9.0%
2 - 1
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Zamudio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aurrerá Vitoria 0 4.0% 7.0% 6.1% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6%
1 5.8% 10.2% 9.0% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.3% 7.5% 6.6% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.1% 3.7% 3.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAurrerá VitoriaZamudio
Played44
Form75%58%
Attack67%67%
Defense44%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.56 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.33 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aurrerá Vitoria Zamudio
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%100%75%100%0%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%25%
Loses50%0%25%0%50%25%

Form: Aurrerá Vitoria: WWLW • Zamudio: DWLW

League goals

Metric Aurrerá Vitoria Zamudio
HATHAT
GF total336426
GF avg1.51.51.52.01.01.5
GA total415033
GA avg2.00.51.30.01.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAurrerá VitoriaZamudio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%100%50%
1.550%25%25%25%
2.525%25%25%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAurrerá VitoriaZamudio
HATHAT
Clean sheets011202
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricAurrerá VitoriaZamudio
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAurrerá VitoriaZamudio
Wins21
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-23-0
Biggest losses0-32-1
Goals For3231
Goals Against3102

Model comparison

MetricAurrerá VitoriaZamudio
Form56%44%
Att50%50%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total45.8%54.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Zamudio

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aurrerá Vitoria = 1.47 (league 1.53), Zamudio = 1.76 (league 1.14)

Zamudio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aurrerá Vitoria 0 4.0% 7.0% 6.1% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6%
1 5.8% 10.2% 9.0% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.3% 7.5% 6.6% 3.9% 1.7% 0.6%
3 2.1% 3.7% 3.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.0% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 43.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1