Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 14:00 •
Campo José Luis Orbegozo
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.53)
0.44 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.0% | 35.8% | 16.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
24.2%
1 - 0
23.7%
2 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Derio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Sociedad III | 0 | 24.2% | 10.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.7% | 10.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.6% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Real Sociedad III | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 27% |
| Attack | 56% | 44% |
| Defense | 56% | 11% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Real Sociedad III | Derio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 40% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 50% | 67% | 60% | 33% | 100% | 60% |
Form: Real Sociedad III: LLWWL • Derio: WLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Real Sociedad III | Derio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Real Sociedad III | Derio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 60% | 60% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 20% | 20% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Real Sociedad III | Derio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Real Sociedad III | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Real Sociedad III | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-3 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Real Sociedad III | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 62.0% | 38.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Real Sociedad III or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Real Sociedad III = 0.98 (league 1.53), Derio = 0.44 (league 1.14)
| Derio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Sociedad III | 0 | 24.2% | 10.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.7% | 10.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.6% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.0% · Draw 35.8% · Away win 16.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1