Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 15:00 • Estadio Garmendipe
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.44 (league 1.44) 1.05 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.1% 17.6% 14.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.5%
2 - 0
9.1%
1 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Portugalete
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lagun Onak 0 3.1% 3.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 7.5% 7.8% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.1% 9.5% 5.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.4% 7.8% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.5% 4.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLagun OnakPortugalete
Played55
Form60%87%
Attack100%100%
Defense56%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.813 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lagun Onak Portugalete
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%33%60%100%50%80%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%20%
Loses0%67%40%0%0%0%

Form: Lagun Onak: LWWWL • Portugalete: WWDWW

League goals

Metric Lagun Onak Portugalete
HATHAT
GF total72910313
GF avg3.50.71.83.31.52.6
GA total044224
GA avg0.01.30.80.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLagun OnakPortugalete
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%40%100%60%
1.540%20%60%20%
2.540%20%40%0%
3.520%0%20%0%
4.50%0%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLagun OnakPortugalete
HATHAT
Clean sheets213202
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricLagun OnakPortugalete
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricLagun OnakPortugalete
Wins32
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-16-01-2
Biggest losses—3-1——
Goals For4162
Goals Against0321

Model comparison

MetricLagun OnakPortugalete
Form41%59%
Att41%59%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total46.4%53.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Portugalete

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lagun Onak = 2.44 (league 1.44), Portugalete = 1.05 (league 1.15)

Portugalete
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lagun Onak 0 3.1% 3.2% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 7.5% 7.8% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.1% 9.5% 5.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.4% 7.8% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.5% 4.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.1% · Draw 17.6% · Away win 14.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1