Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 15:00 •
Estadio Garmendipe
Expected Goals
2.29 (league 1.53)
1.05 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.1% | 18.8% | 16.1% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.8%
2 - 0
9.3%
1 - 1
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Portugalete | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lagun Onak | 0 | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.1% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.3% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.1% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lagun Onak | Portugalete |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 87% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 56% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lagun Onak | Portugalete | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 100% | 33% | 60% | 100% | 50% | 80% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 67% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Lagun Onak: LWWWL • Portugalete: WWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Lagun Onak | Portugalete | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| GF avg | 3.5 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 2.6 |
| GA total | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lagun Onak | Portugalete | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 40% | 100% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 20% | 60% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lagun Onak | Portugalete | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lagun Onak | Portugalete |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lagun Onak | Portugalete |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-1 | 6-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | — | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 6 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lagun Onak | Portugalete |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 41% | 59% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 46.4% | 53.6% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Portugalete
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lagun Onak = 2.29 (league 1.53), Portugalete = 1.05 (league 1.14)
| Portugalete | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lagun Onak | 0 | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.1% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.3% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.1% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.1% · Draw 18.8% · Away win 16.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1