Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 09:30 •
Estadio Olaranbe
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.45)
1.48 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.0% | 25.0% | 39.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
1 - 2
8.7%
0 - 1
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Durango | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aurrerá Vitoria | 0 | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Aurrerá Vitoria | Durango |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 47% |
| Attack | 44% | 22% |
| Defense | 50% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Aurrerá Vitoria | Durango | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 67% | 67% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 100% | 83% |
| Loses | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Aurrerá Vitoria: WWLWWL • Durango: DDDWDD
League goals
| Metric | Aurrerá Vitoria | Durango | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Aurrerá Vitoria | Durango | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 83% | 67% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | 17% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Aurrerá Vitoria | Durango | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Aurrerá Vitoria | Durango |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Aurrerá Vitoria | Durango |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-2 | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Aurrerá Vitoria | Durango |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 41.8% | 58.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Durango
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Aurrerá Vitoria = 1.38 (league 1.45), Durango = 1.48 (league 1.15)
| Durango | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aurrerá Vitoria | 0 | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.0% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 39.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1