Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 16:00 •
Estadio Sarriena
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.45)
1.03 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.8% | 29.0% | 32.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.3%
1 - 0
12.9%
0 - 1
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Añorga | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leioa | 0 | 11.0% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 13.3% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leioa | Añorga |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 20% |
| Attack | 25% | 19% |
| Defense | 69% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leioa | Añorga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 17% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 67% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 100% | 67% |
Form: Leioa: LWWLLD • Añorga: DLLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Leioa | Añorga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 5 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leioa | Añorga | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 17% | 17% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leioa | Añorga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leioa | Añorga |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leioa | Añorga |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leioa | Añorga |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70% | 30% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 63.0% | 37.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Leioa or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Leioa = 1.17 (league 1.45), Añorga = 1.03 (league 1.15)
| Añorga | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leioa | 0 | 11.0% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 13.3% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.8% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 32.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1