Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 15:00 •
Campo de Fútbol Ibaiondo
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 1.51)
0.43 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.4% | 49.4% | 24.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
40.7%
1 - 0
18.9%
0 - 1
17.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Santurtzi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Derio | 0 | 40.7% | 17.6% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.9% | 8.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Derio | Santurtzi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 33% |
| Attack | 31% | 25% |
| Defense | 50% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
50%
FT probability
2.5+
35%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Derio | Santurtzi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 17% | 33% | 67% | 50% |
| Loses | 33% | 67% | 50% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Form: Derio: WLDLLW • Santurtzi: DWLLDD
League goals
| Metric | Derio | Santurtzi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 2 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Derio | Santurtzi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 17% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Derio | Santurtzi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Derio | Santurtzi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Derio | Santurtzi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Derio | Santurtzi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 52.6% | 47.4% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Derio or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Derio = 0.47 (league 1.51), Santurtzi = 0.43 (league 1.13)
| Santurtzi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Derio | 0 | 40.7% | 17.6% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.9% | 8.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.4% · Draw 49.4% · Away win 24.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1