Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 13:30 •
Estadio Udal Kiroldegia
Expected Goals
2.75 (league 1.46)
0.80 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.0% | 13.7% | 8.3% |
best score tips
2 - 0
10.9%
3 - 0
10.0%
2 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Derio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zamudio | 0 | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.9% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.0% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Zamudio | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 47% |
| Attack | 32% | 32% |
| Defense | 53% | 74% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Zamudio | Derio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 67% | 0% | 29% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
| Loses | 0% | 75% | 43% | 25% | 67% | 43% |
Form: Zamudio: DWLWLDL • Derio: WLDLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Zamudio | Derio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Zamudio | Derio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 71% | 71% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 57% | 43% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 14% | 14% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Zamudio | Derio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Zamudio | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Zamudio | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Zamudio | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 49.3% | 50.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Derio
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Zamudio = 2.75 (league 1.46), Derio = 0.80 (league 1.14)
| Derio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Zamudio | 0 | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.9% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.0% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.0% · Draw 13.7% · Away win 8.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1