Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 11:00 • Campo José Luis Orbegozo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.27 (league 1.45) 1.74 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.1% 20.5% 73.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
23.4%
0 - 2
20.3%
0 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Portugalete
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Sociedad III 0 13.4% 23.4% 20.3% 11.8% 5.1% 1.8%
1 3.6% 6.3% 5.5% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
2 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal Sociedad IIIPortugalete
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack54%85%
Defense62%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Sociedad III Portugalete
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%50%43%75%67%71%
Draws0%0%0%0%33%14%
Loses67%50%57%25%0%14%

Form: Real Sociedad III: LLWWLLW • Portugalete: WWDWWWL

League goals

Metric Real Sociedad III Portugalete
HATHAT
GF total17810616
GF avg0.31.81.12.52.02.3
GA total358347
GA avg1.01.31.10.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal Sociedad IIIPortugalete
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%71%86%71%
1.529%43%57%29%
2.529%0%43%0%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal Sociedad IIIPortugalete
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score213101

Penalties

MetricReal Sociedad IIIPortugalete
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricReal Sociedad IIIPortugalete
Wins23
Draws01
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-36-02-3
Biggest losses0-22-10-1—
Goals For1363
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricReal Sociedad IIIPortugalete
Form47%53%
Att39%61%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution13%87%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total32.7%67.3%

Advice: Winner : Portugalete

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.54 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Betano
Away2.40 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.69 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ Marathonbet
No1.92 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Sociedad III = 0.27 (league 1.45), Portugalete = 1.74 (league 1.15)

Portugalete
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Sociedad III 0 13.4% 23.4% 20.3% 11.8% 5.1% 1.8%
1 3.6% 6.3% 5.5% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
2 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.1% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 73.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1