Fri, Oct 31 2025 • 18:30 •
Campo de Fútbol Ibaiondo
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.45)
0.87 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.5% | 30.1% | 27.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.2%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Aretxabaleta | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Derio | 0 | 13.1% | 11.4% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.2% | 13.2% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.9% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Derio | Aretxabaleta |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 87% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 15 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Derio | Aretxabaleta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 75% | 63% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 13% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 25% | 50% | 38% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
Form: Derio: WLDLLWWW • Aretxabaleta: LDWWWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Derio | Aretxabaleta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Derio | Aretxabaleta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 63% | 88% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 38% | 63% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 25% | 38% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 38% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Derio | Aretxabaleta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Derio | Aretxabaleta |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Derio | Aretxabaleta |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Derio | Aretxabaleta |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 35% | 65% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 44.5% | 55.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Derio or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Derio = 1.16 (league 1.45), Aretxabaleta = 0.87 (league 1.15)
| Aretxabaleta | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Derio | 0 | 13.1% | 11.4% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.2% | 13.2% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.9% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.5% · Draw 30.1% · Away win 27.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1